Ask Ratbert

[Ratbert]

@Ratbert Are you able to do a query on 2021 MY builds if I give you a build sheet?

Nope, I don't have that data.

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[Ratbert]

So, I'm not really sure all that I'm looking at in your chart here. Is what I'm seeing showing that there are 33,000 2022 jeeps left to built through June orders?

Not all sequence numbers result in a build sheet and not all build sheets get a window sticker, so we can only estimate how many are left to be built.

 

[bjm00se]

@Ratbert I know it hasn't been two weeks but after this weekend I won't be online for the rest of the month, and I'm really curious if they've stepped up the build rate since 7/5. can you re-run an "as of" query for either yesterday 7/14 or today 7/15 whichever's more convenient?

Thanks.

 

[Ratbert]

@Ratbert I know it hasn't been two weeks but after this weekend I won't be online for the rest of the month, and I'm really curious if they've stepped up the build rate since 7/5. can you re-run an "as of" query for either yesterday 7/14 or today 7/15 whichever's more convenient?

Thanks.

Nothing will change until the 19th since it's in two week chucks, but I'll see if I can tweak it.

 

[bjm00se]

Nothing will change until the 19th since it's in two week chucks, but I'll see if I can tweak it.

No big deal if not convenient. I was just curious.

 

[Ratbert]

The real question... how many of those were Rubicon?

Could I really have that rare of a bird?!

Yep, pretty damn rare.

Instances of 6-Speed Manual Transmission, Limited Edition Gobi Clear Coat, Rubicon Hood Decal, AND Two Door over time:

week starting	build sheets	window stickers	in progress
2022-05-08	1​	1​	0​
2022-05-15	0​	0​	0​
2022-05-22	2​	1​	1​
2022-05-29	2​	2​	1​
2022-06-05	2​	3​	0​
2022-06-12	5​	5​	0​
2022-06-19	0​	0​	0​
2022-06-26	2​	2​	0​
total	14​	14​	​

 

[Ratbert]

@Ratbert I know it hasn't been two weeks but after this weekend I won't be online for the rest of the month, and I'm really curious if they've stepped up the build rate since 7/5. can you re-run an "as of" query for either yesterday 7/14 or today 7/15 whichever's more convenient?

Thanks.

Sorry, but I didn't have a chance to run this until today.

As of 2022-04-12

month	# sequence numbers	# build sheets	% w/build sheets	# domestic build sheets	# domestic window stickers	# domestic in progress
Oct 2021	12,145​	11,118​	91.5​	9,681​	9,393​	288​
Nov 2021	12,725​	10,673​	83.9​	9,522​	9,174​	348​
Dec 2021	32,959​	27,739​	84.2​	18,428​	18,025​	403​
Jan 2022	30,743​	22,145​	72.0​	15,750​	15,246​	504​
Feb 2022	24,977​	9,598​	38.4​	7,363​	6,739​	624​
Mar 2022	22,570​	600​	2.7​	551​	441​	110​
Apr 2022	29,779​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​
May 2022	12,141​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​
Jun 2022	2,140​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​

As of 2022-04-26

month	# sequence numbers	# build sheets	% w/build sheets	# domestic build sheets	# domestic window stickers	# domestic in progress
Oct 2021	12,145​	11,433​	94.1​	9,990​	9,862​	128​
Nov 2021	12,725​	11,140​	87.5​	9,983​	9,719​	264​
Dec 2021	32,959​	28,638​	86.9​	19,150​	18,969​	181​
Jan 2022	30,743​	23,628​	76.9​	16,877​	16,597​	280​
Feb 2022	24,977​	12,535​	50.2​	9,163​	8,628​	535​
Mar 2022	22,570​	2,361​	10.5​	2,085​	1,645​	440​
Apr 2022	29,779​	25​	0.1​	17​	12​	5​
May 2022	12,141​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​
Jun 2022	2,140​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​

As of 2022-05-10

month	# sequence numbers	# build sheets	% w/build sheets	# domestic build sheets	# domestic window stickers	# domestic in progress
Oct 2021	12,145​	11,528​	94.9​	10,079​	10,027​	52​
Nov 2021	12,725​	11,527​	90.6​	10,367​	10,183​	184​
Dec 2021	32,959​	29,464​	89.4​	19,789​	19,567​	222​
Jan 2022	30,743​	24,947​	81.1​	17,740​	17,457​	283​
Feb 2022	24,977​	15,569​	62.3​	10,883​	10,409​	474​
Mar 2022	22,570​	6,225​	27.6​	4,987​	4,179​	808​
Apr 2022	29,779​	2,774​	9.3​	2,694​	2,107​	587​
May 2022	12,141​	4​	0.0​	4​	0​	4​
Jun 2022	2,140​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​

As of 2022-05-24

month	# sequence numbers	# build sheets	% w/build sheets	# domestic build sheets	# domestic window stickers	# domestic in progress
Oct 2021	12,145​	11,547​	95.1​	10,096​	10,072​	24​
Nov 2021	12,725​	11,757​	92.4​	10,593​	10,488​	105​
Dec 2021	32,959​	29,979​	91.0​	20,216​	20,042​	174​
Jan 2022	30,743​	25,884​	84.2​	18,355​	18,094​	261​
Feb 2022	24,977​	17,160​	68.7​	12,035​	11,625​	410​
Mar 2022	22,570​	9,804​	43.4​	7,638​	6,721​	917​
Apr 2022	29,779​	7,370​	24.7​	6,271​	5,224​	1,047​
May 2022	12,141​	81​	0.7​	75​	54​	21​
Jun 2022	2,140​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​

As of 2022-06-07

month	# sequence numbers	# build sheets	% w/build sheets	# domestic build sheets	# domestic window stickers	# domestic in progress
Oct 2021	12,145​	11,572​	95.3​	10,117​	10,102​	15​
Nov 2021	12,725​	11,886​	93.4​	10,718​	10,644​	74​
Dec 2021	32,959​	30,323​	92.0​	20,512​	20,356​	156​
Jan 2022	30,743​	26,597​	86.5​	18,925​	18,613​	312​
Feb 2022	24,977​	18,391​	73.6​	12,975​	12,526​	449​
Mar 2022	22,570​	12,374​	54.8​	9,561​	8,736​	825​
Apr 2022	29,779​	11,037​	37.1​	9,177​	8,067​	1,110​
May 2022	12,141​	850​	7.0​	819​	628​	191​
Jun 2022	2,140​	0​	0.0​	0​	0​	0​

As of 2022-06-21

month	# sequence numbers	# build sheets	% w/build sheets	# domestic build sheets	# domestic window stickers	# domestic in progress
Oct 2021	12,145​	11,682​	96.2​	10,223​	10,180​	43​
Nov 2021	12,725​	12,059​	94.8​	10,886​	10,836​	50​
Dec 2021	32,959​	30,759​	93.3​	20,932​	20,797​	135​
Jan 2022	30,743​	27,520​	89.5​	19,828​	19,565​	263​
Feb 2022	24,977​	19,707​	78.9​	14,218​	13,847​	371​
Mar 2022	22,570​	14,896​	66.0​	11,876​	11,141​	735​
Apr 2022	29,779​	15,118​	50.8​	12,766​	11,805​	961​
May 2022	12,141​	1,733​	14.3​	1,698​	1,464​	234​
Jun 2022	2,140​	67​	3.1​	64​	61​	3​

As of 2022-07-05

month	# sequence numbers	# build sheets	% w/build sheets	# domestic build sheets	# domestic window stickers	# domestic in progress
Oct 2021	12,145​	11,721​	96.5​	10,260​	10,257​	3​
Nov 2021	12,725​	12,116​	95.2​	10,933​	10,926​	7​
Dec 2021	32,959​	31,031​	94.2​	21,184​	21,161​	23​
Jan 2022	30,743​	28,013​	91.1​	20,309​	20,248​	61​
Feb 2022	24,977​	20,430​	81.8​	14,892​	14,841​	51​
Mar 2022	22,570​	16,619​	73.6​	13,466​	13,345​	121​
Apr 2022	29,779​	18,502​	62.1​	15,805​	15,655​	150​
May 2022	12,141​	3,953​	32.6​	3,796​	3,703​	93​
Jun 2022	2,140​	204​	9.5​	201​	197​	4​

 

[Opus]

I’ll apologize in advance if this has already been asked and answered, but do you have stats on the percentage of orders that are canceled and not built? Until I have confirmation that my order is being built, that’s the question I keep coming back to.

 

[Ratbert]

I’ll apologize in advance if this has already been asked and answered, but do you have stats on the percentage of orders that are canceled and not built? Until I have confirmation that my order is being built, that’s the question I keep coming back to.

Cancelled and not built would part of the subset of sequence numbers that never got build sheets. I did an analysis of MY2020 to try to get an idea of those percentages to help predict what to expect: https://www.jlwranglerforums.com/forum/threads/ask-ratbert.89818/post-1980154

Note that there's no way for us to know why a given sequence number never got a build sheet. It could have been cancelled, never assigned, part of a test run, or maybe something else.

 

[TriumphJeepster]

Yep, pretty damn rare.

Instances of 6-Speed Manual Transmission, Limited Edition Gobi Clear Coat, Rubicon Hood Decal, AND Two Door over time:

week starting	build sheets	window stickers	in progress
2022-05-08	1​	1​	0​
2022-05-15	0​	0​	0​
2022-05-22	2​	1​	1​
2022-05-29	2​	2​	1​
2022-06-05	2​	3​	0​
2022-06-12	5​	5​	0​
2022-06-19	0​	0​	0​
2022-06-26	2​	2​	0​
total	14​	14​	​

Dang, it IS rare!

Last query I promise. Same one, but instances of 4.88 gears, hardtop, LED light package, cold weather group?

Could I be a 1 of 1?!

 

[JohnnyJeepSales]

How many total Gobi 4XE Rubicons?

 

[JohnnyJeepSales]

How many total Gobi 4XE Rubicons?

Nvm I see it

 

[Chris22]

Quick question if anyone knows the answer.

I got a build sheet but it shows the below (D1 to D regress). Does this mean it is not getting built and going back to D status?

I'm hoping this isn't the case. Still waiting on my October 2021 order.

I also have a window sticker but that showed up months ago....way before the build sheet. this is for a Canadian order if that makes a difference.

 

[Ratbert]

Quick question if anyone knows the answer.

I got a build sheet but it shows the below (D1 to D regress). Does this mean it is not getting built and going back to D status?

I'm hoping this isn't the case. Still waiting on my October 2021 order.

I also have a window sticker but that showed up months ago....way before the build sheet. this is for a Canadian order if that makes a difference.

Having a window sticker first makes no sense to me, but I don't have a lot of experience with Canadian orders.

I'm fairly sure that D1-to-D regress will stay on the build sheet as a marker that it occurred even after it's built. Your dealer would be the best source of information about what's going on.

 

[Chris22]

Having a window sticker first makes no sense to me, but I don't have a lot of experience with Canadian orders.

I'm fairly sure that D1-to-D regress will stay on the build sheet as a marker that it occurred even after it's built. Your dealer would be the best source of information about what's going on.

Awesome, thanks for the info

Unfortunately for me its hard to get a firm answer from the dealer. I have gotten way more info from this forum through the process than I have from the dealer.

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