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AngieGal816

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Number of weeks-oriented stats are derived from window sticker MDHs (aka 'birthday') for domestic vehicles. Started and not started are from domestic as well as international build sheets.

To be clear: these stats are "so far" (not all Jeeps for a given week have been built) and don't necessarily indicate how long it'll take for any specific Jeep to be built.

I have all of April's numbers, but I don't know the sequence numbers for when April ended / May started, so I can't break those sequence numbers up into days / weeks.

order weekmin weeksavg weeksmax weeksstartednot started
2021-10-03
11​
18​
29​
3,369​
232​
2021-10-10
10​
15​
28​
2,740​
61​
2021-10-17
9​
16​
27​
2,571​
230​
2021-10-24
8​
15​
26​
2,692​
109​
2021-10-31
7​
15​
25​
2,348​
269​
2021-11-07
6​
13​
24​
2,687​
366​
2021-11-14
5​
11​
23​
2,790​
263​
2021-11-21
4​
11​
22​
2,668​
385​
2021-11-28
3​
9​
21​
5,502​
646​
2021-12-05
2​
10​
20​
6,893​
465​
2021-12-12
3​
10​
19​
6,866​
492​
2021-12-19
1​
10​
18​
6,239​
1,119​
2021-12-26
1​
9​
17​
5,604​
1,637​
2022-01-02
2​
9​
16​
5,824​
1,114​
2022-01-09
1​
8​
15​
5,533​
1,405​
2022-01-16
1​
8​
14​
5,545​
1,393​
2022-01-23
0​
7​
13​
5,250​
1,688​
2022-01-30
0​
7​
12​
4,138​
2,228​
2022-02-06
1​
7​
11​
4,254​
1,991​
2022-02-13
1​
7​
10​
3,576​
2,669​
2022-02-20
0​
6​
9​
2,944​
3,301​
2022-02-27
1​
6​
8​
1,658​
3,604​
2022-03-06
1​
6​
7​
1,042​
4,055​
2022-03-13
2​
6​
6​
1,133​
3,964​
2022-03-20
1​
5​
5​
747​
4,350​
2022-03-27
0​
4​
4​
I had a friend place an order on Monday the 2nd. 266176
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Ratbert

Ratbert

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I had a friend place an order on Monday the 2nd. 266176
Excellent! I've updated everything and hoped that the table would be more complete, but apparently there's a flaw in my calculations somewhere since I'm not getting the last two weeks of April. Unfortunately those calculations are slightly complex. Time for some more unit tests in that area.

order weekmin weeksavg weeksmax weeksstartednot started
2021-10-03
11​
18​
29​
3,369​
232​
2021-10-10
10​
15​
28​
2,740​
61​
2021-10-17
9​
16​
27​
2,571​
230​
2021-10-24
8​
15​
26​
2,692​
109​
2021-10-31
7​
15​
25​
2,348​
269​
2021-11-07
6​
13​
24​
2,687​
366​
2021-11-14
5​
11​
23​
2,790​
263​
2021-11-21
4​
11​
22​
2,668​
385​
2021-11-28
3​
9​
21​
5,502​
646​
2021-12-05
2​
10​
20​
6,893​
465​
2021-12-12
3​
10​
19​
6,866​
492​
2021-12-19
1​
10​
18​
6,239​
1,119​
2021-12-26
1​
9​
17​
5,604​
1,637​
2022-01-02
2​
9​
16​
5,824​
1,114​
2022-01-09
1​
8​
15​
5,533​
1,405​
2022-01-16
1​
8​
14​
5,545​
1,393​
2022-01-23
0​
7​
13​
5,250​
1,688​
2022-01-30
0​
7​
12​
4,138​
2,228​
2022-02-06
1​
7​
11​
4,254​
1,991​
2022-02-13
1​
7​
10​
3,576​
2,669​
2022-02-20
0​
6​
9​
2,944​
3,301​
2022-02-27
1​
6​
8​
1,658​
3,604​
2022-03-06
1​
6​
7​
1,042​
4,055​
2022-03-13
2​
6​
6​
1,133​
3,964​
2022-03-20
1​
5​
5​
747​
4,350​
2022-03-27
0​
4​
4​
564​
5,330​
2022-04-03
2​
4​
3​
764​
6,188​
2022-04-10
2​
3​
2​
29​
6,923​
 
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Ratbert

Ratbert

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Now that I've accounted for the the production clock starting on Dec 16th this is making more sense. Still have some things that aren't quite right though.

order weekmin weeksavg weeksmax weeksstartednot started
2021-10-03
1​
7​
19​
3,369​
232​
2021-10-10
1​
5​
19​
2,740​
61​
2021-10-17
1​
7​
19​
2,571​
230​
2021-10-24
1​
7​
19​
2,692​
109​
2021-10-31
1​
8​
19​
2,348​
269​
2021-11-07
1​
7​
19​
2,687​
366​
2021-11-14
1​
7​
19​
2,790​
263​
2021-11-21
1​
7​
19​
2,668​
385​
2021-11-28
1​
7​
19​
5,502​
646​
2021-12-05
1​
8​
19​
6,893​
465​
2021-12-12
3​
10​
19​
6,866​
492​
2021-12-19
1​
10​
18​
6,239​
1,119​
2021-12-26
1​
9​
17​
5,604​
1,637​
2022-01-02
2​
9​
16​
5,824​
1,114​
2022-01-09
1​
8​
15​
5,533​
1,405​
2022-01-16
1​
8​
14​
5,545​
1,393​
2022-01-23
0​
7​
13​
5,250​
1,688​
2022-01-30
0​
7​
12​
4,138​
2,228​
2022-02-06
1​
7​
11​
4,254​
1,991​
2022-02-13
1​
7​
10​
3,576​
2,669​
2022-02-20
0​
6​
9​
2,944​
3,301​
2022-02-27
1​
6​
8​
1,658​
3,604​
2022-03-06
1​
6​
7​
1,042​
4,055​
2022-03-13
2​
6​
6​
1,133​
3,964​
2022-03-20
1​
5​
5​
747​
4,350​
2022-03-27
0​
4​
4​
564​
5,330​
2022-04-03
2​
4​
3​
764​
6,188​
2022-04-10
2​
3​
2​
29​
6,923​
 
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Ratbert

Ratbert

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Now that I've accounted for the the production clock starting on Dec 16th this is making more sense. Still have some things that aren't quite right though.

order weekmin weeksavg weeksmax weeksstartednot started
2021-10-03
1​
7​
19​
3,369​
232​
2021-10-10
1​
5​
19​
2,740​
61​
2021-10-17
1​
7​
19​
2,571​
230​
2021-10-24
1​
7​
19​
2,692​
109​
2021-10-31
1​
8​
19​
2,348​
269​
2021-11-07
1​
7​
19​
2,687​
366​
2021-11-14
1​
7​
19​
2,790​
263​
2021-11-21
1​
7​
19​
2,668​
385​
2021-11-28
1​
7​
19​
5,502​
646​
2021-12-05
1​
8​
19​
6,893​
465​
2021-12-12
3​
10​
19​
6,866​
492​
2021-12-19
1​
10​
18​
6,239​
1,119​
2021-12-26
1​
9​
17​
5,604​
1,637​
2022-01-02
2​
9​
16​
5,824​
1,114​
2022-01-09
1​
8​
15​
5,533​
1,405​
2022-01-16
1​
8​
14​
5,545​
1,393​
2022-01-23
0​
7​
13​
5,250​
1,688​
2022-01-30
0​
7​
12​
4,138​
2,228​
2022-02-06
1​
7​
11​
4,254​
1,991​
2022-02-13
1​
7​
10​
3,576​
2,669​
2022-02-20
0​
6​
9​
2,944​
3,301​
2022-02-27
1​
6​
8​
1,658​
3,604​
2022-03-06
1​
6​
7​
1,042​
4,055​
2022-03-13
2​
6​
6​
1,133​
3,964​
2022-03-20
1​
5​
5​
747​
4,350​
2022-03-27
0​
4​
4​
564​
5,330​
2022-04-03
2​
4​
3​
764​
6,188​
2022-04-10
2​
3​
2​
29​
6,923​
I figured out the anomaly. It takes three+ weeks to go through the process before the a given Wrangler gets built. That all makes sense even though I didn't understand what the tables were telling me at first.

As an example: of the approximately 7k Wranglers that were ordered during the week starting 2022-04-10 only 29 got build sheets. None that were ordered in subsequent weeks have made it that far.
 

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Andy@AAV

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The rumor is that Gobi production was scheduled to start May 2. Have any Gobi build sheets shown up? Did previous special color orders get built at the same time? (Ex: were snazzberry orders all built in a certain limited date range?)
 
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Ratbert

Ratbert

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The rumor is that Gobi production was scheduled to start May 2. Have any Gobi build sheets shown up? Did previous special color orders get built at the same time? (Ex: were snazzberry orders all built in a certain limited date range?)
No additional Gobis yet.

I wasn't collecting data when Snazzberries were cranking up, so I don't have any real details about their build characteristics other than the last one seems to have received a build sheet on April 19th.
 
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I figured out the anomaly. It takes three+ weeks to go through the process before the a given Wrangler gets built. That all makes sense even though I didn't understand what the tables were telling me at first.

As an example: of the approximately 7k Wranglers that were ordered during the week starting 2022-04-10 only 29 got build sheets. None that were ordered in subsequent weeks have made it that far.
I'm thinking that there's still something that's not quite right about the trailing weeks. Something isn't making sense.
 

eveg33

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Hi John,

When you get time - do you know how many, if any builds with XR & 2.0 have been built?
 
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Ratbert

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Can your latest beak it down to just RHDs for all of the same time periods?
I'm playing around with doing an over-time comparison. This is what I'm finding for RHDs based on the code that I'm working on. They take 9 days longer on average.

order weekmin weeksavg weeksmax weeksstartednot startedavg weeks comparison
2021-10-14
1​
7.1​
19​
2,575​
226​
+0.0​
2021-10-21
1​
6.9​
19​
2,683​
118​
+0.0​
2021-11-04
1​
8.3​
19​
2,643​
410​
-4.5​
2021-11-11
1​
6.5​
19​
2,845​
208​
+2.1​
2021-11-18
1​
7.4​
19​
2,676​
377​
+1.6​
2021-12-02
1​
7.1​
19​
7,061​
297​
-7.5​
2021-12-09
2​
9.5​
19​
6,752​
606​
+3.2​
2021-12-16
1​
10.0​
19​
6,373​
985​
-6.4​
2021-12-23
1​
9.7​
18​
5,986​
1,372​
-4.7​
2022-01-06
2​
8.7​
16​
5,851​
1,087​
-5.2​
2022-01-13
0​
8.1​
15​
5,676​
1,262​
-3.5​
2022-01-20
0​
7.5​
14​
5,248​
1,690​
-3.2​
2022-02-03
2​
7.2​
12​
4,423​
1,822​
-0.8​
2022-02-10
1​
7.1​
11​
3,727​
2,518​
+0.0​
2022-02-17
0​
6.3​
10​
3,335​
2,910​
-0.3​
2022-03-03
2​
6.6​
8​
1,181​
3,916​
+6.6​
2022-03-10
2​
6.1​
7​
1,077​
4,020​
+6.1​
2022-03-17
1​
5.3​
6​
952​
4,145​
+0.0​
2022-03-24
1​
4.5​
5​
824​
4,273​
+4.5​
2022-04-07
1​
3.1​
3​
415​
6,537​
+0.0​
2022-04-14
2​
2.2​
2​
21​
6,931​
+0.0​
2022-04-21
0​
0.0​
0​
0​
6,952​
+0.0​
 

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Ratbert

Ratbert

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Hi John,

When you get time - do you know how many, if any builds with XR & 2.0 have been built?
I'm only showing 39 with build sheets and 8 with window stickers. Those numbers seem strangely small.
 

4Runfun

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I figured out the anomaly. It takes three+ weeks to go through the process before the a given Wrangler gets built. That all makes sense even though I didn't understand what the tables were telling me at first.

As an example: of the approximately 7k Wranglers that were ordered during the week starting 2022-04-10 only 29 got build sheets. None that were ordered in subsequent weeks have made it that far.
Good info - I'm one of those who ordered during the week starting 2022-04-10 Ordered 4/11 actually so I'm just over 3 wks. No build sheet yet but hoping within next 2 weeks.
 

eveg33

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I'm only showing 39 with build sheets and 8 with window stickers. Those numbers seem strangely small.
Wow, thank you. Makes ya wonder. You have those same numbers for the high tides?
 

ST3V3LU1S

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Hi John,

When you get time - do you know how many, if any builds with XR & 2.0 have been built?
I'm only showing 39 with build sheets and 8 with window stickers. Those numbers seem strangely small.
FWIW, my 2/14 JLURXR 2.0 build is scheduled for 5/10. Been in D1 since the end of March.
 

eveg33

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FWIW, my 2/14 JLURXR 2.0 build is scheduled for 5/10. Been in D1 since the end of March.
Nice, thanks for the context. Sounds like you were an early order of the combo
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