AndySpill
Well-Known Member
- First Name
- Andy
- Joined
- Oct 24, 2023
- Threads
- 73
- Messages
- 1,665
- Reaction score
- 1,275
- Location
- Pittsburgh
- Vehicle(s)
- 2018 JL Sahara
Ok. Thanks for that.YES, they did...extensively...10-20 years ago. This is exactly the point...all this data costs money to collect, and what they kept finding is that new data wasn't really all that useful. Oversimplifying - they can correlate the "cost" of each policy with the relative cost of the vehicle. However this isn't done at a per-model or even per-brand level. It's done (was done, actually) at a vehicle class level, and as time passed they zoomed out even further and just started modeling the cost trends in each class. It's those trends that determine the prices that brokers tack their commissions on to.
Bringing all this back to the subject of the thread - the cost of an extended warranty is no longer a reliable indicator of the cost to maintain a given vehicle. Example - FCA warranties are among the cheapest in the business, yet their vehicles are among the most expensive to maintain. The cost differences now are due to the commissions that are being paid to the chain of brokers and salespeople that sell the warranties. Over time this has come to mean that the cost of an extended warranty for any given vehicle is tailored to the class of buyer that they expect to buy that particular vehicle.
I want to make clear at this point that the above explanation is what I remember from a lesson on warranties and insurance from a friend of mine who manages funds like these. He dumbed it down big time for me because i'm an engineer not a banker. The details aren't really what's important anyway in a thread debating whether or not an extended warranty for a JL Wrangler is a good idea. The question, as always is - will I spend less on a warranty than I will on repairs for a JL out of warranty? And the answer to that is ALMOST DEFINITELY YES.
Let me also be clear that I am NOT addressing the reliability of the warranty itself. Whether or not that warranty will be honored when it is needed is another story altogether. Again that comes back to the dealers.
When you say that you will spend less on a warranty than you will on repairs out of pocket for a JL out of warranty--and I assume you are speaking generically across all JL owners--not simply yourself and your own wear and tear experience, does this factor in the investment of monies by the JL owner saved on a policy and the present value of repairs in the future (which of course is cheaper somewhat than the actual cost at the time the expense is incurred in the future) given at time zero the investment of those monies (not spent on the warranty) in interest bearing accounts that grow with time, hopefully faster than inflation?
For warranties to be win-win, I would think that there would have to be the ability for the guarantor, through large purchase power, to negotiate rates of pay for parts and labor so much cheaper than you and I would pay out of pocket, and pass a substantial amount of that savings along to the policy owner (i.e. losing profits in the process), along with small commissions on the sale of said policies.
If you were taking about yourself, I can certainly concede that warranty may very well be worth it for someone who has covered expenses as a byproduct of putting far above the average wear and tear and miles on their vehicle, wear neither time nor mileage negate covering such warranties.
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