Whaler27
Well-Known Member
- First Name
- Alex
- Joined
- Jul 1, 2020
- Threads
- 60
- Messages
- 2,674
- Reaction score
- 5,350
- Location
- Oregon
- Vehicle(s)
- 2019 JL, 2016 Jeep Grand Cherokee Altitude Ecodiesel, 2005 Mustang GT, 2018 Ford Raptor, 2018 BMW R1200GSA, 2020 Honda Monkeybikes (2), 1972 Honda CT-70, 1980 Honda CT-70,
- Occupation
- Saving the world :-)
It may be just as you suspect in this instance, but I’ve seen this condition many times before with a variety of different makes and models. Sometimes it happens as a result of rental car inventory turns when Avis, Hertz, and Enterprise blow out a bunch of two year old vehicles at auction. Six or seven years ago I bought my mother in law a like-new, nicely equipped, Ford Taurus with 7,500 miles on it for $12,000. Tauruses were all over the place and cheap for about three months. (Her car has been wonderful and trouble free for 52,000 miles.)Speaking of Jeep quality: there is an shocking number of Jeep WL-L (2022+ Grand Cherokee L) sitting on competitors' lots around here. The Nissan dealer has five; the Toyota dealer has three; the Honda, VW and Honda dealers have 1 each.
That is a lot of WL-Ls that have been traded in for something else in this small market.
I don't know what the underlying cause is, but it is certainly quite strange for vehicles that are only 1 or 2 years old.
In the midst of the COVID craziness, when some of the younger forum members thought they could perpetually buy new Jeeps and then sell them for a profit in 18 months, a bunch of us old-timers reminded them that COVID craziness would pass and the vehicle pricing cycle we’ve seen SO many times before would return: manufacturers raise their prices as much and as long as they can. They “make hay while the sun shines”. When the buying frenzy stops, dealer inventory accumulates, and the rebates and other cost-lowering incentives start to flow. Prices will continue to drop until inventory clears. I’ve seen this cycle repeat with every common brand over the last fifty years.
After shopping and waiting almost two years, I finally bought a new pickup truck for $5,000 below the factory Monroney sticker. That wasn’t a great deal, but it was the best I could do within 1,000 miles of home, and I couldn’t wait any longer. Dave Smith in Idaho, usually a great place to buy, was not willing to discount the truck I wanted at all, because their inventory was too thin. Last fall, the same truck was so scarce they were selling for $10 over Monroney. Now production is exceeding demand, so I expect we’ll see them selling for closer to $10k below Monroney by the fall of 2024 or early spring of 2025. I’ve never been able to predict the timing of this cycle, but I’ve watched it happen five or six times over the years. It is as certain as death and taxes, and contrary to the assertions of some of our younger forum members, jeeps are not immune from these market swings.
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