BroncoHound
Well-Known Member
- First Name
- Bud
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- Jun 10, 2020
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- Meridian, ID
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- 2020 JLUR / 2022 JLURD
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- Taxi driver-in-training
In some ways, I think you've made my argument for me. Where does the lack of desire for a manual transmission (reflected in low sales numbers) come from? Because the technology of the automatics has improved so much. They now have the power advantage, the speed/performance advantage, and the efficiency advantage because technology has advanced to the point where the dynamic electronic controlled system can outperform any human interface.I don't buy it. The manual transmission is still being advanced and not much less modern than an ancient centrifugal clutch you find in most automatic transmissions.
I do agree with a lot of things you said, but I don't think its oldness that is driving out the manual transmission. I think it's the lack of desire to drive them reflected in reduced sales. Manuals used to have a gas mileage advantage and even a shifting speed advantage, but they don't anymore. So the only people still choosing to buy them are those of us that enjoy it or respect the simplicity (like a carb).
If you think about it, even today with such modern technology, the manual transmission is far more robust, easier to maintain, and probably less of a source of quality issues than most automatics (funny given this thread is about a broken manual).
42,887 units affected. This basically means Jeep sold 42k manual transmission jeeps in the last 3 years. Not sure what percentage that is, but with an average purchase price of 35k, thats about $1.5B. So we'll probably continue to see another generation of Manual Transmission.
I don't agree that the modern manual is more robust than most automatics. That's evidenced in my previous diesel pickup anecdote. While the automatic models were coming very near the 1000tq published numbers in 2018, the exact same platform with the manual transmission was derated to the same 610tq that it came with 11 model years prior. Now, that's not to say the transmission itself couldn't handle the power (many G56 have, in the aftermarket), but the clutch couldn't, and there wasn't any drive by the manufacturer to engineer a design that was capable of advancing the manual transmissions capabilities to match its automatic counterpart. I also don't agree that most are easier to maintain; odds are within the first 100,000 miles of ownership a manual transmission owner will swap a clutch out before an automatic transmission owner has to do anything other than a fluid and filter change. Taking performance modifications and niche vehicles out of the equation, I'd venture to guess (and that's all it is, a guess, as I have no empirical data to support) that most automatics get fiddled with less than manuals in modern vehicles that offer both.
43k units over 3 model years are manual. According to the first website that DuckDuckGo gave me, Jeep Wrangler sales 2018-2020 were just under 670k (https://carsalesbase.com/us-jeep-wrangler/). If those figures are accurate, that means manual transmission sales constituted 6.4% of sales. Would there be much passion behind developing a new product in any other industry for 6.4% of the sales market?
The old "slushbox" way of thinking about automatics as clunky, inefficient, and unreliable transmissions is largely gone the way of the dinosaur. The 8-speed auto (and really all of the 8HP/ZF 8-speeds that FCA employed in the last ~5 years) in the JL Jeep is a prime example. I've driven an automatic Jeep, and it's great. It's arguably (taking emotion and individual desire out of the equation) a better platform than the manual transmission at every single metric. But driver enjoyment and personal preference plays a part and, for me, 3 pedals will ALWAYS win over 2. When I owned my Hellcat Challenger, it was with the unequivocally slower 6-speed manual. The auto in that car was amazing, but I still prefer to row my own at any opportunity. Sadly though, when it comes to new car purchases, I firmly believe there won't be anything interesting/fun for sale with a manual transmission in the USA in 10 years. My advice to anyone that agrees with me is find something you enjoy driving with a manual and plan to keep it for the rest of your days (for me, it's my 2002 Dodge Ram 2500 24V Cummins and NV4500 5-speed); that way you won't be as heartbroken when a manual is no longer an option for your daily driver but you'll still have something old and simple and fun when you just want to feel like you're still a part of the driving equation.
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