Crowdsourcing to figure out what months our VINs were created

[steve_990]

As someone with a Canadian order - what's that delay looking like on average?

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[Hohnan]

POC 2/1/22 11:20 AM EST VIN - 188828

 

[CJ SCION]

Ordered 2022-03-31 1:42 PM eastern, 235874

 

[Ratbert]

POC 2/1/22 11:20 AM EST VIN - 188828

Ordered 2022-03-31 1:42 PM eastern, 235874

Thanks, those both help to narrow it down quite a bit.

At some point there will be April sequence numbers in there. Over 900 build sheets for March so far.

 

[Ratbert]

As someone with a Canadian order - what's that delay looking like on average?

I don't have details about when an order was placed, so the only delay that i can track is between build sheet and window sticker being discovered by my code. The vast majority of those are within a week for both Canadian and US customers.

Note that I don't think that I've read about a Canadian customer getting their Jeep "quickly". This is all anecdotal, but from stories here it seems like VINs take months to be handed out and deliveries are 6+ months away.

 

[CharlesC]

Ordered 3/31, 7:00 PM EST
VIN: 236703

 

[steve_990]

Good to know. At least I got my VIN quite quickly (couple weeks). But I'm bracing for that 6 month wait.

 

[Ratbert]

Ordered 3/31, 7:00 PM EST
VIN: 236703

Excellent. I've update it with your details.

 

[TriumphJeepster]

Excellent. I've update it with your details.

Ooo that was a good one.

This is my favorite thread on the forum. I keep an eye out if anyone posts first or last day order dates in other threads

 

[Ratbert]

Ooo that was a good one.

This is my favorite thread on the forum. I keep an eye out if anyone posts first or last day order dates in other threads

Lol. Your response prodded me to update my code with the latest month boundaries. Here are the results as of this morning's 2am extraction:

month	% w/build sheets	% w/window stickers	% of incomplete build sheets
Oct '21	91.4​	86.0​	5.9​
Nov '21	83.7​	79.2​	5.4​
Dec '21	84.2​	61.0​	27.6​
Jan '22	72.0​	55.3​	23.2​
Feb '22	38.4​	29.7​	22.6​
Mar '22	2.6​	2.1​	20.8​

 

[TriumphJeepster]

Lol. Your response prodded me to update my code with the latest month boundaries. Here are the results as of this morning's 2am extraction:

month	% w/build sheets	% w/window stickers
Oct '21	91.4​	86.0​
Nov '21	83.7​	79.2​
Dec '21	84.2​	61.0​
Jan '22	72.0​	55.3​
Feb '22	38.4​	29.7​
Mar '22	2.6​	2.1​

I swear the March number keeps going down.

I have a strong feeling May is gonna be a good month for Gobi builds. They gotta build SOME of them beside the few you found!

 

[Ratbert]

I swear the March number keeps going down.

I have a strong feeling May is gonna be a good month for Gobi builds. They gotta build SOME of them beside the few you found!

Hell, that's possible. I've moved the whole analysis part of it from SQL into Java. There was so much black magic going on in the SQL that I didn't fully understand. Now it's all very clear on how each number is derived. This was just too painful to maintain (old numbers here) and required a repetitive manual copy / paste into the forum's table format:

 

[TriumphJeepster]

Hell, that's possible. I've moved the whole analysis part of it from SQL into Java. There was so much black magic going on in the SQL that I didn't fully understand. Now it's all very clear on how each number is derived. This was just too painful to maintain (old numbers here) and required a repetitive manual copy / paste into the forum's table format:

Innovation!

I believe I read that all but 1% or so are accounted for with the new parameters, is that right? So accuracy "should" be substantial?

 

[Ratbert]

Innovation!

I believe I read that all but 1% or so are accounted for with the new parameters, is that right? So accuracy "should" be substantial?

In theory it's the same results, but I've seen some differences between the two. The significant difference is that I now maintain a map of 7 values where previously I had to try to keep 42 updated. It was challenging to know if I had all 42 values correct.

I also no longer have to try to manually merge build sheets and window stickers together (another opportunity for screw ups).

 

[Nitehawk92]

To develop a better understanding of what's being built each month we need to know what VINs were created each month. @dahacker did a statistical analysis and came up with these approximates for the early months, but it would be extremely helpful to have something relatively concrete, especially for more recent months of MY 2022 builds.

Month	Starting Sequence Number	Ending Sequence Number
October 2021	100,001	112,400 (10/30)
November 2021	112,401 (derived from 10/30)	124,933 (11/29) (need 11/30)
December 2021	125,501 (approx) (need 12/01)	154,401 (12/23 - need 12/31-ish)
January 2022	158,085 (1/03 - need 1/01-ish)	188,796 (1/31)
February 2022	188,828 (2/01)	212,112 (2/28)
March 2022	213,805 (3/01)	236,703 (3/31)
April 2022	236,704 (derived from 3/31)	999,999

I've received sequence numbers (the last 6 digits of your VIN) from a few people and have plugged those in where appropriate.

If the "Date Ordered" on your Priced Order Confirmation (POC) is on the start day or end day of a month and it's more accurate than what's in this table then please post here with your VIN's sequence number and that date.

If you're wondering why we'd want this data then see this topic.

Well I am the start of March...

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