Crowdsourcing to figure out what months our VINs were created

[TriumphJeepster]

It's extremely challenging to make sense of it. I'm beginning to think that simply breaking it up into chunks of 10k sequence numbers might make it easier to grasp, but people tend to mentally / logically group builds together by month.

Here's by 10k sequence numbers:

sequence number range	% w/build sheets	% w/window stickers
100000-109999	44.9​	40.9​
110000-119999	86.6​	82.3​
120000-129999	82.0​	76.2​
130000-139999	89.0​	64.9​
140000-149999	86.0​	47.4​
150000-159999	73.5​	59.0​
160000-169999	71.4​	60.5​
170000-179999	71.1​	49.1​
180000-189999	64.1​	50.7​
190000-199999	48.6​	35.7​
200000-209999	31.3​	27.4​
210000-219999	16.7​	13.2​
220000-229999	1.7​	1.3​

Note that we don't really know what "all build sheets" is since in my 2020 analysis 14.7% never received build sheets. Some of these groups are already over that.

The % with window stickers column is a little unexpected and I don't know what's up with the first row (the first part of October's orders).

That makes way more sense!

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[steve_990]

192896 - ordered Jan 31st (although I think the dealer put it in on Feb 1st/2nd)

 

[GladiSD]

192896 - ordered Jan 31st (although I think the dealer put it in on Feb 1st/2nd)

My VIN was 192255 and it was put in on Feb 10th, so I think your dealer didn't input it until later? How would I have a lower VIN issued, but 10 days later?

 

[steve_990]

My VIN was 192255 and it was put in on Feb 10th, so I think your dealer didn't input it until later? How would I have a lower VIN issued, but 10 days later?

Unless I'm misremembering. I sat at the dealership and my salesman opened up their system to let me see and it had the date there. Could of sworn it was the 2nd, but I might be wrong.

One other thing to note - this is a Canadian order. Not sure if that factors in.

 

[Ratbert]

Unless I'm misremembering. I sat at the dealership and my salesman opened up their system to let me see and it had the date there. Could of sworn it was the 2nd, but I might be wrong.

One other thing to note - this is a Canadian order. Not sure if that factors in.

Being a Canadian order might factor in. What is the order date on your POC?

 

[DurangoRob]

My POC order date is 2/28, and my sequence number is 212087, which kind of puts a bookend on Feb orders, right? @steve_990 ordered Feb 1 with sequence 192896 so ~ 19,191 orders between his and mine for the whole month of Feb...busy month

 

[steve_990]

Just double confirmed with my Sales guy. He send a screenshot.
POC went in Feb 1st, 2022 at 3:11PM (PST).

 

[Stumeat]

192896 - ordered Jan 31st (although I think the dealer put it in on Feb 1st/2nd)

Interesting, mine was Jan 31 and I am 188563

 

[Ratbert]

Just double confirmed with my Sales guy. He send a screenshot.
POC went in Feb 1st, 2022 at 3:11PM (PST).

Perfect. I've updated it with those details.

 

[GladiSD]

My POC order date is 2/28, and my sequence number is 212087, which kind of puts a bookend on Feb orders, right? @steve_990 ordered Feb 1 with sequence 192896 so ~ 19,191 orders between his and mine for the whole month of Feb...busy month

I think his being Canadian messes up the sequence. I ordered 10 days later and have a lower sequence VIN than he does.

 

[REWJeep]

POC 2022-02-02 17:14 CST VIN Sequence # 189303

 

[Ratbert]

POC 2022-02-02 17:14 CST VIN Sequence # 189303

It's pretty cool that we can narrow it down so precisely. Updated and thanks!

 

[Ratbert]

I've rewritten the SQL in Java and now I can easily combine statistics of build sheets with window stickers. Here's as of this morning:

month	% w/build sheets	% w/window stickers
Oct '21	91.1​	85.2​
Nov '21	83.4​	78.3​
Dec '21	84.1​	60.2​
Jan '22	71.5​	54.5​
Feb '22	38.6​	30.4​
Mar '22	3.5​	2.0​

 

[Bpieroway]

I've rewritten the SQL in Java and now I can easily combine statistics of build sheets with window stickers. Here's as of this morning:

month	% w/build sheets	% w/window stickers
Oct '21	91.1​	85.2​
Nov '21	83.4​	78.3​
Dec '21	84.1​	60.2​
Jan '22	71.5​	54.5​
Feb '22	38.6​	30.4​
Mar '22	3.5​	2.0​

Im in Canada. Nov 20, 2021 order. Manual JLUR. Im at BX stage still. No idea what the heck to expect or hope anymore

 

[Ratbert]

Im in Canada. Nov 20, 2021 order. Manual JLUR. Im at BX stage still. No idea what the heck to expect or hope anymore

Progressing to D1 seems to take forever for Canadian orders.

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