nomographer
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Oct 7, 2020
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- Location
- Seattle, WA
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- 21 Rubicon ("Anaximander"), 94 YJ sold :(
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I'm sorry I'm not able to produce any more graphs to show how long builds are taking. I don't think people were finding them very useful in any case, but they did help to verify some anomalies here and there.
JeepChat probably has their hands tied with the information they can access, and it's likely that someone decided they were getting ahead of themselves by promising certain delivery dates. The last year certainly shows that any promised date comes with low confidence.
Most people are lucky that their pizza delivery doesn't have to pass through the Suez canal, but if there were such points of failure in local deliveries it would be clear that they suffer from the same problems. Even in a big city they can only give me a 15 minute estimate for when something might be ready, after which I have to track the driver, and even then it can be off by 50%.
For manufacturing, and I don't work in an automobile manufacturing plant, I suspect the primary issue is having the parts in the right place at the right time. Things are likely to be built in batches with some minor variations. Videos and deliveries suggest that paint varies, and some of the features vary, but they have to build on a combination of just-in-time and proximity algorithms. Meanwhile they have downstream requirements to consider as well; there's no real point in producing only half doors if they don't have any, and there's no benefits pumping out 1,000 needing Mopar leather seats if that installer is already overbooked.
Rethink pizza with the baking done off site and pepperoni being ordered (by them) and arriving hourly, and the sausage counter finds one that was assembled with only 31 pieces of sausage, and someone must have bumped something because all the toppings are on the right 75%, and there's a ticket over there that's been waiting on anchovies for a few days.
Well anyway. I still remember my 84 days. Keep
JeepChat probably has their hands tied with the information they can access, and it's likely that someone decided they were getting ahead of themselves by promising certain delivery dates. The last year certainly shows that any promised date comes with low confidence.
Most people are lucky that their pizza delivery doesn't have to pass through the Suez canal, but if there were such points of failure in local deliveries it would be clear that they suffer from the same problems. Even in a big city they can only give me a 15 minute estimate for when something might be ready, after which I have to track the driver, and even then it can be off by 50%.
For manufacturing, and I don't work in an automobile manufacturing plant, I suspect the primary issue is having the parts in the right place at the right time. Things are likely to be built in batches with some minor variations. Videos and deliveries suggest that paint varies, and some of the features vary, but they have to build on a combination of just-in-time and proximity algorithms. Meanwhile they have downstream requirements to consider as well; there's no real point in producing only half doors if they don't have any, and there's no benefits pumping out 1,000 needing Mopar leather seats if that installer is already overbooked.
Rethink pizza with the baking done off site and pepperoni being ordered (by them) and arriving hourly, and the sausage counter finds one that was assembled with only 31 pieces of sausage, and someone must have bumped something because all the toppings are on the right 75%, and there's a ticket over there that's been waiting on anchovies for a few days.
Well anyway. I still remember my 84 days. Keep